So apparently this Bryson DeChambeau cat is the real deal. His breakthrough performance at the Northern Trust all but stamped his ticket to Paris in less than a month’s time, but we’ve still got plenty left to play for.
Now it is time to turn the page and get ready for the Dell Technologies Championship.
The top-100 in the FedEx Cup standings have advanced, and they’ll make the short trip from Paramus, New Jersey, up to Norton, Massachusetts, a small town about 25 miles south of Downtown Boston. Because of Labor Day, this tournament will begin on Friday and conclude on Monday, so keep that in mind as you make your plans.
Just like last week, the top sports betting sites have done us a solid and provided us with an assortment of matchups to choose from. Sifting through the betting sheets is a bit more challenging than in weeks past, as the golf course doesn’t really seem to favor any one type of player.
Sure, we have seen bombers like Justin Thomas and Rory McIlroy take this tournament down in the previous two years, but let’s not forget about the list of “short knockers” who have also tasted victory at TPC Boston.
Chris Kirk (2014), Webb Simpson (2011), Charley Hoffman (2010), and Steve Stricker (2009) all won here without overpowering the golf course, so anything can happen. That means trying to predict who winds up on the first page of the leaderboard is even more up in the air than normal.
All I can do is try and lock into the players who are primed to play well, given current form and the way their games are trending.
Take a peek at the head-to-heads that have me interested, and perhaps you’ll feel the same way.
Technically, both of these men are still trying to impress Thomas Bjorn in hopes of being selected as a captain’s pick for the European Ryder Cup team. I’d like to clarify by stating that one of these men is already locked into the roster as far as I am concerned, regardless of what happens in Boston.
All Ian Poulter has to do is stay alive for the next four weeks, and he’ll be on the team plane to Paris.
On the other hand, Rafa Cabrera-Bello is amongst the players who are in the running for a captain’s pick, but I envision that he still has some work left.
We saw this come into play over this past weekend, as Rafa’s +3 total of 145 over the final 36 holes dropped him all the way back into a tie for 60th. I know he is feeling the nerves of trying to inspire the European captain; it’s just natural.
I’m not saying that Rafa is going to “wet the bed” and miss the cut horribly in Beantown. I’m just saying I don’t see him getting into serious contention.
On the flip side, Ian Poulter has been playing tremendously for more than four months now, and the Ryder Cup is now in sight. His string of terrific play was slightly halted by a less-than-stellar T-48th last week in New Jersey, but I’m not reading into it a whole bunch.
Ian was mediocre all week long, as the 54 pars he made were the second most in the field. I look for Poulter to get the putter heated up this weekend, and that should spell for lots of birdies and low scores.
On top of all of this, BetOnline is allowing us to snag Ian at even money, while Rafa is the listed favorite at -120. I’m riding with the value here because I don’t suspect it’ll last all the way until Friday morning.
I’m a big fan of Henrik Stenson and know how premier of a ball striker he is. But I can’t help but think that this elbow injury that forced Stenson to skip the Northern Trust might be a bit more serious than I originally anticipated.
He claims that it is okay and that he can practice and play without pain, but perhaps his recent results suggest otherwise. Take a look.
After finishing 26th or better in 9 of his first 10 starts, the “Big Swede” has cracked the top 35 just once in his most recent four tournaments. This includes an MC at Bellerive Country Club at the year’s final major just a few weeks ago.
I’ve heard rumors that Thomas Bjorn has already secretly guaranteed Henrik a pick, which makes me even more wary of how Stenson plays this weekend at TPC Boston.
Meanwhile, there is absolutely nothing suspicious about Tommy Fleetwood and the current state of his golf game. The 27-year-old father of one doesn’t know anything other than finishing in the top 20, as he’s done so in 12 of the 16 PGA Tour events he has entered this season.
I could go on and on about what Tommy does well on the golf course, but the fact that he’s 7th on the PGA Tour in overall strokes gained tells you how consistent of a player he is.
Despite all of Fleetwood’s accomplishments, he’s never hoisted a trophy on this stage up until this point. It’s only a matter of time until that changes, and it could even be this week. The fact that all he has to do is beat Stenson over the course of 72 holes for me to cash in on this wager has me licking my chops.
BetOnline has dropped the ball on this line, flat-out.
Bovada seems to have gotten it right, as they have Adam Scott listed at -110 versus Jon Rahm. Adam is +110 versus Rahm on Sportsbook.ag, so I continued scouring to see if I could find an even better price.
That’s when I spotted the 38-year-old Aussie at a ridiculous +140 versus Jon Rahm on BetOnline. If you want to wager on Rahm here, you have to lay an egregious -160!
While Jon Rahm was throwing clubs and muttering curse words en route to an “MC Hammer,” Adam Scott was busy leading the field in strokes-gained putting.
The top-5 finish at Ridgewood was the perfect amount of momentum that Adam needed as we roll into the remainder of the FedEx Cup Playoffs. With a cumulative scoring average of 67.38 over his last 8 rounds on tour, Scott has clearly found the form he had been searching for throughout the season.
I expect him to continue striping the golf ball up and down the fairways, so now that he’s found a stride with his flat stick, the sky is the limit.
I wouldn’t be surprised to see Rahm bounce back and play well, but come on, folks.
+140 for Adam Scott here is what I call “stupid value.” It’s a no-brainer, no matter what the outcome is.
Kevin Na is quietly a really good golfer. No, he doesn’t hit it as long as Bubba, and no, he isn’t known for being the fastest player on tour.
But when it comes to cashing checks on golf’s biggest stage, few do it better and more consistently than Kevin Na.
Since winning at The Greenbrier in early July, Na has made all his cuts, and he’s even shown flashes of improvement lately. After finishing 31st at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, Kevin has gone 19th-15th over his past two tournaments (PGA Championship and the Northern Trust).
Bubba has been doing the exact opposite, plummeting far and fast ever since he finished 13th that same week that Kevin won. To be more precise, in his last 5 appearances, all Bubba has to show for it is a 31st and a 34th to go along with a trio of missed cuts.
If you want more data that points in the direction of Na, look at what happened at the 2017 Dell Technologies Championship at TPC Boston.
Bubba failed to break 70 all week on his way to finishing in a four-way tie for 69th. Kevin posted a Sunday 66 to finish in a tie for 6th.
I feel like there is more than enough information here for me to feel comfortable loading up on Na. Bubba is searching for a swing thought that works, while Kevin is pretty much firing all on cylinders.
That’s enough for me to work with, and I’m guessing most of the sharps feel the same way.
These wagers are oozing with value, and I can promise you I am not the only one targeting them. There is a good chance that this value won’t last, so if I were you, I’d book these quickly.
If you wait until 8:15 AM local time on Friday morning when that first tee time goes off, you are going to miss the boat.
Setting up an account on BetOnline.ag is so quick and so easy, and the payouts are super reliable. As fun as it is to hang out on the couch with a cold beverage and watch the PGA Tour tournament action unfold, it gets even more exhilarating when you have a few bucks on the line.
Seriously, though, if you thought any of these bets were attractive, head over there right now. Book the bets and see how it goes. If it works out, come on back next week for my betting tips and advice for the BMW Championship!
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